It's been two weeks since Wisconsin voted in a Spring Election that Democrats spent days claiming would spark a massive surge in Coronavirus cases across the state.
"People should not have to decide whether they can vote or be sick," said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. "That’s just not a good choice for anyone in a democracy."
Former Presidential candidate Bernie Sanders, who dropped out of the race the day after Wisconsin's vote (but before any results came in) was even more direct, saying "it is dangerous, disregards the guidance of public health experts, and may very well prove deadly."
Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Ben Wikler added that the in-person vote would "disenfranchise untold thousands of Wisconsin voters and consign an unknown number of Wisconsinites to their deaths."
"This thing in Wisconsin was one of the most awful things I’ve ever seen in my life," said veteran Democratic Party strategist James Carville. "Just the extent they’ll go to to hold on to power. It was all about one Supreme Court seat in Wisconsin. They will kill people to stay in power, literally."
Two weeks to the day after the vote, it is clear that none of these doomsday predictions has come true. The data is in, and it shows definitively that there has been no surge in Coronavirus cases after the Spring Election.
In the seven days leading up to the in-person vote, Wisconsin averaged 174.1 new Coronavirus cases per day:
March 31......130 new cases
April 1...........199 new cases
April 2...........180 new cases
April 3...........186 new cases
April 4...........196 new cases
April 5...........155 new cases
April 6...........173 new cases
In the 13 days immediately following the election, Wisconsin averaged 147.8 new Coronavirus cases per day:
April 8...........178 new cases
April 9...........129 new cases
April 10.........183 new cases
April 11.........145 new cases
April 12........128 new cases
April 13..........87 new cases
April 14........127 new cases
April 15........166 new cases
April 16........154 new cases
April 17........170 new cases
April 18........154 new cases
April 19........147 new cases
April 20........153 new cases
Even taking into account the fact that Coronavirus has an average incubation period of roughly five days, from April 13 to April 20 Wisconsin averaged 144.8 new Coronavirus cases per day--far fewer than the 174.1 new cases per day that the state was averaging before the election.
This proves that there was no statewide surge, a fact that Wisconsin Department of Health Services Secretary-designee Andrea Palm admitted during her weekly press conference on Monday.
"We have not seen data that suggests that we've seen a a large uptick from in-person voting," she said.
Even in the City of Milwaukee, which has been hardest hit by the Coronavirus outbreak, there was no discernible surge in new cases despite the Health Department's best efforts to convince the public that the election was directly responsible for new cases.
On Monday night, Milwaukee Health Commissioner Jeannette Kowalik claimed that seven new Coronavirus cases were the direct result of in-person voting. This, however, also serves to prove that the election was not responsible for a surge in new cases. Given that 18,803 people case in-person votes in Milwaukee and only seven contracted the Coronavirus, there was an infection rate of 0.037% among Milwaukeeans who voted. With 4,499 total Coronavirus cases in Wisconsin and a statewide population of 5.822 million, the state's infection rate is 0.077%--much higher than the rate of infection among those who voted in Milwaukee.
The comparison between Milwaukeeans who voted and Milwaukee County residents is even more telling. With 2,191 total Coronavirus cases and a population of 950,588, Milwaukee County has an infection rate of 0.23%--massively higher than the infection rate of those who voted in the City of Milwaukee.
Since the data now inarguably shows that holding an in-person election did not cause a spike in Coronavirus cases, Democrats have shifted their argument to claim that the election instead halted a downward trend in new cases; that in-person voting stopped a flattening of the proverbial curve.
This, too, is a demonstrable lie.
While Wisconsin saw a small bump in Coronavirus cases in the ten days from April 8 to April 18, so too did every neighboring state (none of which held in-person voting), which suggests that this was simply the regional trend for the time period and had nothing at all to do with Wisconsin's election.